Leo, on Darwin's Theory of Evolution
I am not a scientist, however not long after graduating from High School, by the skin of my teeth I will admit, and because I was better at math than at English and Spelling, I looked into Mathematical Probabilities. As I said I was good at math and I loved the subject. Thus I found that
Probability can disprove Darwin's Theory of Evolution.
Probability is defined as the use of mathematics and statistics to forecast the outcome of uncertain events. In short, probability is science's way of telling the future, call it the computer geek's Nostradamus. Probability has become an indispensable part of modern life that's used by economists, actuaries, marketing experts, Wall Street analysts, politicians and even odds makers who cash in on the use of numbers to accurately forecast sporting events. Now, we are forecasting the upcoming elections by the use of statistical evaluations, Probabilities.
Most people who have played the lottery have a good idea of what a long shot really is. Here are some of the most popular odds on the probability of an event happening:
Mega Millions Jackpot (per $1 play): 1: 135,145,920
Being hit by lightning (U.S.A.): 1:3,000,000
Poker, drawing a straight flush: 1:70,000
Being killed in a car crash (U.S.A.): 1:6,500
Poker, drawing four of a kind: 1:4,000
Dice, rolling a seven: 1:6
Darwin's theory of evolution claims that the first living cell was accidentally created from just the right, random combination of ingredients over millions of years, As stated, I am not a scientist, however I got into several Encyclopedia Sites, and read about basic living cells. From what I could figure out, a basic living cell has at least 20 basic components. Actually there are many, many more that I did not even understand. These components are animo acids, DNA combinations, basic elements, and numerous other chemicals. I just simplified them into 20 components. And, it is easy to prove through the laws of mathematical probability that the odds against this theory are so astronomical that it's impossible. Because of these calculations even a growing number of evolutionists are being forced to admit that because the simplest living cell is so incredibly complicated, the time it would take to be formed through purely random forces of nature would take billions and billions of years longer than the age of the entire universe!
Sure. the probability of a million monkeys, typing on a million typewriters, will eventually write a book in a million years might just happen. Nevertheless, actually, such a thing is just about as impossible as Evolution, given the time element. First of all randomly selecting the keys to form a word, even a 4 letter word, is 1 in millions, any English 4 letter word needs at least on vowel and there are five of them, thus one choice in 5 of picking the right vowel, plus the other 3 letters of the word are 3 choices in 21, subtracting the vowels. And finally, the 4 letters have to make a word. Given the afore mentioned math, we have to add the 16 different ways, to make 4 letters into a word. That's just the beginning. There are thousands of words in a book and not all are 4 letter words. So, even I am not going to do the math on that one.
Let's look at proof. Twenty (20) was the number of different components that I thought would form into a single cell. The age of the Universe:
Science has not concluded whether it is 15 or 20 billion years old, in any case, let's give them the benefit of the doubt and say 20 billion years
In one 24-hour day, there are 86,400 seconds.
In one average year of 365.25 days, there are 31,557,600 seconds.
Thus in 20 billion years there would be 631,152,000,000,000,000 seconds.
20! is a scientific notation that means, (1x1) x (1x2) x (1x3) x (1x4) x ,,, (1x20) which equals 2,432,902,008,176,640,000. We are going to use this resulting figure in a minute.
Consequently from these figures ( dividing the number of seconds in 20 billion years by the number 20! ) , we see that the random events for the 20 chemicals, materials, and whatever else made that cell, would have to occur about every ¼ second from the beginning of the Universe until now.
But let's go further, suppose that first cell was formed at approximately 1/4th second at a time, since time began. Now we have another problem. In a monkey, a horse, a bird, a man, or a flower, there are millions of cells. So, again, I say, 'you do the math'. In order for millions of cells to get together to form a monkey, a horse, a bird, a human, or a flower world take longer than any 4 or 5 Universes ever existed. So far, science has never said that something from another Universe was passed over to this Universe, they may think about it but I don't know if it is provable or for that matter even theoretical.
Any way, think about it. The Probability of Darwin's theory of Evolution ever happening is so far fetched that even a scientist in his right mind should be able to cast the thought aside. But then as I said, I ain't no scientist, but I did learn math.
Leo C. Tha's Me.